Rubio closes in on Vance in GOP 2028 nomination odds on Kalshi
Rubio rises in 2028 GOP nomination odds as Vance slips on Kalshi and Polymarket See why military wins and Trump succession doubts are reshaping the race
Secretary of State Marco Rubio has been gaining ground in prediction markets for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, according to traders on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi data shows Vice President JD Vance still ahead, but his odds have fallen to 33% from about 50% at the start of the year. Rubio’s chances have risen to 30% from roughly 12%.
The report says Rubio’s odds improved after major military developments this year, while Vance’s position weakened amid questions about whether President Donald Trump sees him as his political successor. The article also notes that GOP chances of winning the White House in 2028 have declined in recent months.