Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauge Rose 3.0% in August

Fed inflation measure rises less than expected as spending stays strong PCE data, GDP revision, and rate-hike odds shift markets ahead of the next meeting

The Federal Reserve’s main inflation measure increased less than expected in August, according to the Commerce Department. The personal consumption expenditures price index rose 0.3% for the month and 3.4% from a year earlier, while the core reading, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% on the month and 3.0% annually. The report also showed stronger consumer spending than economists had forecast, even as income growth was weaker. Markets responded by reducing the odds of a rate hike at the Fed’s October meeting, though traders still saw a move later in the year as possible. The Commerce Department also revised secondquarter GDP growth higher to an annualized 2.2%, driven by stronger consumer and government spending and private investment. Inflation remained above the Fed’s 2% target, keeping policy decisions focused on whether price pressures are easing enough to slow further rate increases.