Quebec projections point to uneven population growth across regions

New projections from Quebec’s statistics agency suggest the province’s population will grow unevenly over the next quarter century. Some areas are expected to keep attracting residents, while others, including Montreal, could see declines if current trends continue. The Institut de la statistique du Québec says lower birth rates, an aging population and migration patterns will shape regional change. The CapitaleNationale region is projected to post the strongest longterm growth through 2051, with the Quebec City and Drummondville areas also expected to see notable increases. By contrast, the island of Montreal could lose about 4.5 per cent of its population between 2021 and 2051. Demographer Frédéric FleuryPayeur said the figures are projections rather than predictions and depend on whether today’s demographic trends continue. He noted that migration remains the main driver, with many people moving from Montreal to suburban areas or back to their home regions as they look for housing or start families. Even where population growth slows, housing demand is expected to stay high. The report says aging households, including more people living alone or in collective housing, will still require more housing units per person.