Russia may be testing NATO’s resolve, analysis says
Russia NATO tensions rise as Moscow tests alliance airspace with drones See why officials fear deniable provocations may expose NATO divisions
Russia is raising concerns across NATO by sending drones and missiles into or near alliance airspace, especially in Poland and Romania. The CBC analysis says Western officials are worried Moscow may be trying to provoke fear and political confusion without crossing the line into a direct war with NATO.
The article says the Kremlin could be looking for limited, deniable acts of aggression that would make it harder for NATO to respond under Article 5. Analysts cited in the story argue that Russia may be trying to exploit uncertainty about how the United States would react under President Donald Trump.
Officials in Poland, the Baltic states and elsewhere in Europe are watching for possible provocations in the coming months, including falseflag scenarios using captured drones. While there is no consensus that Russia plans a conventional attack on NATO, the piece says concerns are growing that Moscow wants to test the alliance’s political unity.