Prediction market traders see more tech layoffs in 2026
Tech layoffs continue into 2026 as AI and weak crypto pressure companies See why traders expect more cuts and what recent layoffs signal next
Traders on prediction platforms are expecting tech layoffs to continue in 2026 after Coinbase announced another round of cuts tied in part to artificial intelligence and lower cryptocurrency prices.
Kalshi traders are pricing in a 92% chance that layoffs in tech and related informationsector jobs will be higher in 2026 than in 2025. Polymarket traders are also assigning an 87% chance to the same outcome.
The article cites labor data showing 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2025 and 178,000 through March 2026. It also notes recent job cuts at Block, Meta Platforms and Amazon, all of which pointed to AIdriven restructuring or efficiency efforts as part of their decisions.